IMPROVEMENT OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTION TECHNIQUES IN MINUTE-TO-DAY SCALES (Q3152942): Difference between revisions
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(Removed claim: summary (P836): A KEY FACTOR TO INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR ENERGY AND INCREASE ITS DEGREE OF PENETRATION INTO THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM IS THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE RELIABILITY OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTIONS. IN THE LAST FEW YEARS THERE HAS BEEN A GREAT ADVANCE IN THE TECHNIQUES OF PREDICTION. THUS, THERE ARE THREE MAIN METHODOLOGIES, BASED ON SKY CAMERA, SATELLITE IMAGES AND NUMERIC MODELS OF METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION (MNPM). THESE METHODS GIVE RISE TO P...) |
(Created claim: summary (P836): A KEY FACTOR TO INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR ENERGY AND INCREASE ITS DEGREE OF PENETRATION INTO THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM IS THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE RELIABILITY OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTIONS. IN THE LAST FEW YEARS THERE HAS BEEN A GREAT ADVANCE IN THE TECHNIQUES OF PREDICTION. THUS, THERE ARE THREE MAIN METHODOLOGIES, BASED ON SKY CAMERA, SATELLITE IMAGES AND NUMERIC MODELS OF METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION (MNPM). THESE METHODS GIVE RISE TO PRE...) |
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A KEY FACTOR TO INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR ENERGY AND INCREASE ITS DEGREE OF PENETRATION INTO THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM IS THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE RELIABILITY OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTIONS. IN THE LAST FEW YEARS THERE HAS BEEN A GREAT ADVANCE IN THE TECHNIQUES OF PREDICTION. THUS, THERE ARE THREE MAIN METHODOLOGIES, BASED ON SKY CAMERA, SATELLITE IMAGES AND NUMERIC MODELS OF METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION (MNPM). THESE METHODS GIVE RISE TO PREDICTIONS WITH VERY DIFFERENT SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL RESOLUTIONS AND TIME HORIZONS. HOWEVER, THE RELIABILITY OF PREDICTIONS IS FAR FROM OPTIMA. IN ADDITION, THERE HAS BEEN NO MAJOR EFFORT TO COMBINE THE DIFFERENT EXISTING METHODOLOGIES, TAKING ADVANTAGE OF POSSIBLE COMPLEMENTARITIES AND SYNERGIES BETWEEN THEM. Nor has there been exHAUSTIVE CAMPAINS of validation of the requirements for all types of methods in one single EMPLACEMENT AND THE SAME TIME._x000D_ THE PROJECT consists of a first phase in which the prediction techniques will be improved. THE RESEARCH GROUP OF THIS PROJECT HAS BEEN WORKING ON THE THREE PREVIOUS METHODOLOGIES IN THE LAST YEARS. THIS PROJECT PROPOSES IMPROVEMENTS IN EACH OF THEM. IN THE CASE OF THE CAMARA, IT IS PROPOSED THE USE OF SEVERAL CAMERAS FOR THE EXTENSION OF THE TEMPORAL HORIZON OF PREDICTION, TODAY OFTEN LIMITED TO LESS THAN 5 MINUTES. IN ADDITION, THE USE OF AN AUTOMATIC CLOUD SORTER IS PROPOSED TO HELP IN THE SEGMENTATION OF IMAGES. IN THE FIELD OF SATELLITES, IT IS PROPOSED TO USE THE WIND FIELD PREDICTED BY AN MNPM TO FORECAST THE FUTURE POSITION OF CLOUDS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE IMAGES. IT IS ALSO PROPOSED TO IMPROVE THE TEMPORARY RESOLUTION OF PREDICTIONS. THE ADVANCES IN CAMARA AND SATELLITE ARE FOCUSED ON BOTH METHODS, CONTRARY TO WHAT HAPPENS TODAY, OVERLAP THEIR HORIZON OF PREDICTION. Finally, in the ambit of the MNPMs will work to increase the FRECUENCE with which these models INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE RADIATION IN SUPERFICIE._x000D_ in a second phase of the project will generate a base of payment data and validation measures to be used for the development and evaluation of the demands. The validation will be carried out for all the techniques to the same time in the same EMPLACEMENT._x000D_ as the result of the project we expect a general improvement in the reliability of the risks, to the possibility of disposing of the varietal pre-editions and basics in completely different approaches, in all the temporal predictions. (English) | |||||||||||||||
| Property / summary: A KEY FACTOR TO INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR ENERGY AND INCREASE ITS DEGREE OF PENETRATION INTO THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM IS THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE RELIABILITY OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTIONS. IN THE LAST FEW YEARS THERE HAS BEEN A GREAT ADVANCE IN THE TECHNIQUES OF PREDICTION. THUS, THERE ARE THREE MAIN METHODOLOGIES, BASED ON SKY CAMERA, SATELLITE IMAGES AND NUMERIC MODELS OF METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION (MNPM). THESE METHODS GIVE RISE TO PREDICTIONS WITH VERY DIFFERENT SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL RESOLUTIONS AND TIME HORIZONS. HOWEVER, THE RELIABILITY OF PREDICTIONS IS FAR FROM OPTIMA. IN ADDITION, THERE HAS BEEN NO MAJOR EFFORT TO COMBINE THE DIFFERENT EXISTING METHODOLOGIES, TAKING ADVANTAGE OF POSSIBLE COMPLEMENTARITIES AND SYNERGIES BETWEEN THEM. Nor has there been exHAUSTIVE CAMPAINS of validation of the requirements for all types of methods in one single EMPLACEMENT AND THE SAME TIME._x000D_ THE PROJECT consists of a first phase in which the prediction techniques will be improved. THE RESEARCH GROUP OF THIS PROJECT HAS BEEN WORKING ON THE THREE PREVIOUS METHODOLOGIES IN THE LAST YEARS. THIS PROJECT PROPOSES IMPROVEMENTS IN EACH OF THEM. IN THE CASE OF THE CAMARA, IT IS PROPOSED THE USE OF SEVERAL CAMERAS FOR THE EXTENSION OF THE TEMPORAL HORIZON OF PREDICTION, TODAY OFTEN LIMITED TO LESS THAN 5 MINUTES. IN ADDITION, THE USE OF AN AUTOMATIC CLOUD SORTER IS PROPOSED TO HELP IN THE SEGMENTATION OF IMAGES. IN THE FIELD OF SATELLITES, IT IS PROPOSED TO USE THE WIND FIELD PREDICTED BY AN MNPM TO FORECAST THE FUTURE POSITION OF CLOUDS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE IMAGES. IT IS ALSO PROPOSED TO IMPROVE THE TEMPORARY RESOLUTION OF PREDICTIONS. THE ADVANCES IN CAMARA AND SATELLITE ARE FOCUSED ON BOTH METHODS, CONTRARY TO WHAT HAPPENS TODAY, OVERLAP THEIR HORIZON OF PREDICTION. Finally, in the ambit of the MNPMs will work to increase the FRECUENCE with which these models INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE RADIATION IN SUPERFICIE._x000D_ in a second phase of the project will generate a base of payment data and validation measures to be used for the development and evaluation of the demands. The validation will be carried out for all the techniques to the same time in the same EMPLACEMENT._x000D_ as the result of the project we expect a general improvement in the reliability of the risks, to the possibility of disposing of the varietal pre-editions and basics in completely different approaches, in all the temporal predictions. (English) / rank | |||||||||||||||
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| Property / summary: A KEY FACTOR TO INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR ENERGY AND INCREASE ITS DEGREE OF PENETRATION INTO THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM IS THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE RELIABILITY OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTIONS. IN THE LAST FEW YEARS THERE HAS BEEN A GREAT ADVANCE IN THE TECHNIQUES OF PREDICTION. THUS, THERE ARE THREE MAIN METHODOLOGIES, BASED ON SKY CAMERA, SATELLITE IMAGES AND NUMERIC MODELS OF METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION (MNPM). THESE METHODS GIVE RISE TO PREDICTIONS WITH VERY DIFFERENT SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL RESOLUTIONS AND TIME HORIZONS. HOWEVER, THE RELIABILITY OF PREDICTIONS IS FAR FROM OPTIMA. IN ADDITION, THERE HAS BEEN NO MAJOR EFFORT TO COMBINE THE DIFFERENT EXISTING METHODOLOGIES, TAKING ADVANTAGE OF POSSIBLE COMPLEMENTARITIES AND SYNERGIES BETWEEN THEM. Nor has there been exHAUSTIVE CAMPAINS of validation of the requirements for all types of methods in one single EMPLACEMENT AND THE SAME TIME._x000D_ THE PROJECT consists of a first phase in which the prediction techniques will be improved. THE RESEARCH GROUP OF THIS PROJECT HAS BEEN WORKING ON THE THREE PREVIOUS METHODOLOGIES IN THE LAST YEARS. THIS PROJECT PROPOSES IMPROVEMENTS IN EACH OF THEM. IN THE CASE OF THE CAMARA, IT IS PROPOSED THE USE OF SEVERAL CAMERAS FOR THE EXTENSION OF THE TEMPORAL HORIZON OF PREDICTION, TODAY OFTEN LIMITED TO LESS THAN 5 MINUTES. IN ADDITION, THE USE OF AN AUTOMATIC CLOUD SORTER IS PROPOSED TO HELP IN THE SEGMENTATION OF IMAGES. IN THE FIELD OF SATELLITES, IT IS PROPOSED TO USE THE WIND FIELD PREDICTED BY AN MNPM TO FORECAST THE FUTURE POSITION OF CLOUDS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE IMAGES. IT IS ALSO PROPOSED TO IMPROVE THE TEMPORARY RESOLUTION OF PREDICTIONS. THE ADVANCES IN CAMARA AND SATELLITE ARE FOCUSED ON BOTH METHODS, CONTRARY TO WHAT HAPPENS TODAY, OVERLAP THEIR HORIZON OF PREDICTION. Finally, in the ambit of the MNPMs will work to increase the FRECUENCE with which these models INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE RADIATION IN SUPERFICIE._x000D_ in a second phase of the project will generate a base of payment data and validation measures to be used for the development and evaluation of the demands. The validation will be carried out for all the techniques to the same time in the same EMPLACEMENT._x000D_ as the result of the project we expect a general improvement in the reliability of the risks, to the possibility of disposing of the varietal pre-editions and basics in completely different approaches, in all the temporal predictions. (English) / qualifier | |||||||||||||||
point in time: 12 October 2021
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Revision as of 15:52, 12 October 2021
Project Q3152942 in Spain
| Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
|---|---|---|---|
| English | IMPROVEMENT OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTION TECHNIQUES IN MINUTE-TO-DAY SCALES |
Project Q3152942 in Spain |
Statements
90,024.0 Euro
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112,530.0 Euro
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80.0 percent
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1 January 2015
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31 December 2018
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UNIVERSIDAD DE JAEN
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37°57'20.63"N, 3°29'31.42"W
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23050
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UN FACTOR CLAVE PARA AUMENTAR LA COMPETITIVIDAD DE LA ENERGIA SOLAR E INCREMENTAR SU GRADO DE PENETRACION EN EL SISTEMA ELECTRICO ES LA MEJORA EN LA FIABILIDAD DE LAS PREDICCIONES DE LA RADIACION SOLAR. EN LOS ULTIMOS AÑOS SE HA PRODUCIDO UN GRAN AVANCE EN LAS TECNICAS DE PREDICCION. ASI, EXISTEN TRES METODOLOGIAS PRINCIPALES, BASADAS EN CAMARA DE CIELO, IMAGENES DE SATELITE Y MODELOS NUMERICOS DE PREDICCION METEOROLOGICA (MNPM). ESTAS METODOLOGIAS DAN LUGAR A PREDICCIONES CON MUY DISTINTAS RESOLUCIONES ESPACIALES Y TEMPORALES Y HORIZONTES TEMPORALES. SIN EMBARGO, LA FIABILIDAD DE LAS PREDICCIONES DISTA DE SER LA OPTIMA. ADICIONALMENTE, NO HA HABIDO UN GRAN ESFUERZO POR COMBINAR LAS DISTINTAS METODOLOGIAS EXISTENTES, APROVECHANDO LAS POSIBLES COMPLEMENTARIEDADES Y SINERGIAS ENTRE LAS MISMAS. TAMPOCO HA HABIDO CAMPAÑAS EXHAUSTIVAS DE VALIDACION DE LAS PREDICCIONES PARA TODO TIPO DE METODOLOGIAS EN UN SOLO EMPLAZAMIENTO Y AL MISMO TIEMPO._x000D_ EL PROYECTO CONSTA DE UNA PRIMERA FASE EN LA CUAL SE TRATARA DE MEJORAR LAS TECNICAS DE PREDICCION. EL GRUPO DE INVESTIGACION DE ESTE PROYECTO HA VENIDO TRABAJANDO EN LAS TRES METODOLOGIAS ANTERIORES EN LOS ULTIMOS AÑOS. EN ESTE PROYECTO SE PROPONEN MEJORAS EN CADA UNA DE ELLAS. EN EL CASO DE LA CAMARA, SE PROPONE EL USO DE VARIAS CAMARAS PARA LA EXTENSION DEL HORIZONTE TEMPORAL DE PREDICCION, HOY EN DIA MUCHAS VECES LIMITADO A MENOS DE 5 MINUTOS. ADEMAS SE PROPONE EL USO DE UN CLASIFICADOR AUTOMATICO DE NUBES QUE AYUDE EN LA SEGMENTACION DE LAS IMAGENES. EN EL AMBITO DE LOS SATELITES, SE PROPONE EL USO DEL CAMPO DE VIENTOS PRONOSTICADO POR UN MNPM PARA PRONOSTICAR LA POSICION FUTURA DE LAS NUBES ESTIMADAS A PARTIR DE LAS IMAGENES DE SATELITE. TAMBIEN SE PROPONE MEJORAR LA RESOLUCION TEMPORAL DE LAS PREDICCIONES. LOS AVANCES EN CAMARA Y SATELITE ESTAN ENFOCADOS A QUE AMBOS METODOS, CONTRARIAMENTE A LO QUE SUCEDE EN LA ACTUALIDAD, SOLAPEN SU HORIZONTE DE PREDICCION. FINALMENTE, EN EL AMBITO DE LOS MNPM SE TRABAJARA PARA INCREMENTAR LA FRECUENCIA CON LA QUE ESTOS MODELOS COMPUTAN INTERNAMENTE LA RADIACION EN SUPERFICIE._x000D_ EN UNA SEGUNDA FASE DEL PROYECTO SE GENERARA UNA BASE DE DATOS DE PREDICCIONES Y MEDIDAS DE VALIDACION QUE SE UTILIZARAN PARA EL DESARROLLO Y EVALUACION DE LAS PREDICCIONES. LA VALIDACION SE LLEVARA A CABO PARA TODAS LAS TECNICAS AL MISMO TIEMPO EN EL MISMO EMPLAZAMIENTO._x000D_ COMO RESULTADO DEL PROYECTO ESPERAMOS UNA MEJORA GENERAL DE LA FIABILIDAD DE LAS PREDICCIONES, AL PODER DISPONER DE VARIAS PREDICCIONES CONCURRENTES Y BASADAS EN APROXIMACIONES TOTALMENTE DISTINTAS, EN TODOS LOS HORIZONTES TEMPORALES DE PREDICCION. (Spanish)
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A KEY FACTOR TO INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR ENERGY AND INCREASE ITS DEGREE OF PENETRATION INTO THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM IS THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE RELIABILITY OF SOLAR RADIATION PREDICTIONS. IN THE LAST FEW YEARS THERE HAS BEEN A GREAT ADVANCE IN THE TECHNIQUES OF PREDICTION. THUS, THERE ARE THREE MAIN METHODOLOGIES, BASED ON SKY CAMERA, SATELLITE IMAGES AND NUMERIC MODELS OF METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION (MNPM). THESE METHODS GIVE RISE TO PREDICTIONS WITH VERY DIFFERENT SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL RESOLUTIONS AND TIME HORIZONS. HOWEVER, THE RELIABILITY OF PREDICTIONS IS FAR FROM OPTIMA. IN ADDITION, THERE HAS BEEN NO MAJOR EFFORT TO COMBINE THE DIFFERENT EXISTING METHODOLOGIES, TAKING ADVANTAGE OF POSSIBLE COMPLEMENTARITIES AND SYNERGIES BETWEEN THEM. Nor has there been exHAUSTIVE CAMPAINS of validation of the requirements for all types of methods in one single EMPLACEMENT AND THE SAME TIME._x000D_ THE PROJECT consists of a first phase in which the prediction techniques will be improved. THE RESEARCH GROUP OF THIS PROJECT HAS BEEN WORKING ON THE THREE PREVIOUS METHODOLOGIES IN THE LAST YEARS. THIS PROJECT PROPOSES IMPROVEMENTS IN EACH OF THEM. IN THE CASE OF THE CAMARA, IT IS PROPOSED THE USE OF SEVERAL CAMERAS FOR THE EXTENSION OF THE TEMPORAL HORIZON OF PREDICTION, TODAY OFTEN LIMITED TO LESS THAN 5 MINUTES. IN ADDITION, THE USE OF AN AUTOMATIC CLOUD SORTER IS PROPOSED TO HELP IN THE SEGMENTATION OF IMAGES. IN THE FIELD OF SATELLITES, IT IS PROPOSED TO USE THE WIND FIELD PREDICTED BY AN MNPM TO FORECAST THE FUTURE POSITION OF CLOUDS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE IMAGES. IT IS ALSO PROPOSED TO IMPROVE THE TEMPORARY RESOLUTION OF PREDICTIONS. THE ADVANCES IN CAMARA AND SATELLITE ARE FOCUSED ON BOTH METHODS, CONTRARY TO WHAT HAPPENS TODAY, OVERLAP THEIR HORIZON OF PREDICTION. Finally, in the ambit of the MNPMs will work to increase the FRECUENCE with which these models INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE RADIATION IN SUPERFICIE._x000D_ in a second phase of the project will generate a base of payment data and validation measures to be used for the development and evaluation of the demands. The validation will be carried out for all the techniques to the same time in the same EMPLACEMENT._x000D_ as the result of the project we expect a general improvement in the reliability of the risks, to the possibility of disposing of the varietal pre-editions and basics in completely different approaches, in all the temporal predictions. (English)
12 October 2021
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Jaén
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Identifiers
ENE2014-56126-C2-1-R
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